What is Technological Uncertainty?
- Shaun Button

- Feb 24
- 2 min read
The Scientific Research & Experimental Development (SR&ED) program is a cornerstone of Canada’s innovation strategy, offering tax incentives to businesses that take on challenging, forward-thinking projects. At the heart of SR&ED eligibility is the concept of technological uncertainty (TU)—a key criterion that distinguishes routine work from true innovation. But what exactly is technological uncertainty, and how does it apply to your projects?
TU arises when the solution to a technical problem is not readily apparent or achievable using existing knowledge, methods, or technologies. It’s the “unknown” that drives innovation—the gap between what is currently possible and what you’re trying to achieve.

Indicators of Technological Uncertainty
TU is important because it serves at the starting point for SR&ED - everything else flows from the TU. Therefore, identifying TU early in a project is critical. Indicators to look out for include:
Failure: The obvious solution did not work
No Obvious Solution: Your search for available technologies has come up short
Known Risk: Experience tells you that there are challenges with reaching your objective
How to Demonstrate Technological Uncertainty
Documenting TU is rarely done in industry, but it’s essential for SR&ED claims. To prove that your project involves technological uncertainty, you’ll need to document:
Initial Search: Keep records of internet searches, publications, communications with suppliers and the initial thought process
Failures: Dated documents of early issues prove when you can start claiming costs
Technological Advancements (TA): the flip side of TU is the TA - tracking what you learn supports eligibility, even if the desired outcome wasn’t fully achieved
Examples of Technological Uncertainty
Manufacturing: New equipment is purchased to improve your process - however, the supplier agrees there are known risks to integration with your existing equipment
Software Development: Your GitHub search o solve a complex computational problem finds incomplete solutions - you seek to create a novel algorithm
Mechanical Engineering: Experience tells you that the behaviour of materials in a challenging scenario is not well understood - you designing a prototype to test multiple materials
Engineering Consulting: You believe you can better understand issues observed in the field - you collect data to determine the impact of variables
Why Technological Uncertainty Matters
Technological uncertainty is the driving force behind innovation and the key criteria for SR&ED eligibility. It’s what separates routine improvements from groundbreaking advancements. By identifying, documenting, and working to resolve TU, you not only push the boundaries of what’s possible but also position your business to benefit from SR&ED tax credits. TU isn’t just a hurdle—it’s an opportunity. By embracing and documenting it, you can turn technical challenges into tangible rewards.
Get Started
If your projects involve tackling technical challenges with no clear solutions, you could be eligible for SR&ED tax credits. To find out how much you could qualify for, book a free consultation today!

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